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Articles: TP Special | ei.Ti. tarvAta Em&iTi? | |
| Dear Mahrishi gaaru,Talsani gaaru,
I am writing this purely from my point of view.
I have read your views on the future of IT/BPO industry and i personally feel that both of you stand equally right in your places.
I do not see any apprehensions on Mr.Maharishi comment & i also do not see IT perishing.Both are facts.
Yes, but i see that there will be a line drawn to everything in this world.
'denikaina oka paridantu vuntundi kada'.
Mr.Maharshi told repeatedly that he is not trying to scare away people, but he is trying to alert the people and the government.He is only making people think from the other side of the coin too i feel he is correct.We are so blindly dependent on IT/BPO sectors that we are not thinking about an alternative as such.
AS Mr.Rajani kanth.B has stated : what man kind needs after 50 years ?In which way we can
contribute? these are the questions for debate.like hydrogen cars,fuel cells,solar power,bio diesel,etc and aggriculture. and all these aslo require manpower to innovate,to build, to implement,to run, to maintain. These sectors also need a technology be build and it can be build through IT also. dont you think so.-Maharishi gaaru.
You can apply IT in all walks of life,even to other technologies and fields.We should only concentrate on HOW TO EVOLVE a sensible and sustainable employment generation model- as said by Mr.Babu Kishore Enapati.
Talsani gaaru,
Firstly i would say that India is a Democratic country so we have a freedom of expression.
what Mr.Mahrishi has put forth are just his views. You can only contradict him but you cannot DENY his views on some issues.This Real Estate boom is not a myth and is in some way or the other related IT which is a reason for it to bubble. If u take realestate in Vizag for instance,the moment IT industry has layed eyes on vizag for its expansion the real estate has its hands on. so these
factors do effect to some extent on people.
I agree with you that -SOFTWARE PRODUCTS COME AND GO WHAT DRIVES THE FUTURE IS THE TECNOLOGY ITSELF.
AS you said - Say near future some new operating system would be invented which would replace
everything and would be million times better in performance than what we are witnessing now.
If we have better performing machines to opt for then don't you think there will be an increase
in unemployment at the lower end.What iam trying to say is may be there will be no dearth of IT opportunities in the future but they opportunities can be decreased to a greater number.You can see that in case of ERP sector- where the operations/functions of various departments
in particular industry to take palce needed manpower but afterr ERP has emerged the employment
rate in these departments are downsized.Everything which was manually dealt is now being taken
care by the machine(70%) and the rest by the mankind. so its obvious that there will be
opportunitiues at the Higher-end only mostly then what about the people at the lower end???
I personally feel that both of you are correct in your own ways. It is a posssible reality of IT /BPO industry in future ,as we see every industry & country economy has roller-coaster in its path.
But WHAT we have to make people think from our views is :
HOW to specialise in high-end IT projects and how to achieve that.
WHAT mankind needs after 50 years ? In which way we can contribute? these are the questions for debate. like hydrogen cars,fuel cells,solar power,bio diesel,etc and aggriculture. and all these aslo require manpower to innovate, to build, to implement,to run, to maintain.These sectors also need a technology be build and it can be build through IT also.BUT HOW!!!!
Thank You ,
SHAMITA.V
Posted by: Ms. Shamita SHAMITA At: 27, May 2006 4:46:46 PM IST Dear Maharshi garu,
You are not here to argue with anybody. It's very easy to provoke anybody and get provoked. Please don't get in to that and don't waste your valuable time.
Mr.Ravi,
I feel you are talking very ridiculous. You are misusing the freedom and the facilities here. You should have verified who is who and whether the author wrote any articles before. You can click on any person's name to find more about them. It's your fault, not TP's fault or Mr.Maharshi's fault. If you do not know who is somebody, you must have made a request for it.
To All,
Though Internet is great - but it has these type of disadvantages at forums where they do not require pre-screeening of the posts. Anybody can talk against any person without thinking. It's not possible in the print Newspapers or Magazines. Please think twice before making harsh comments against anybody especially when you are talking/discussing about serious topics.
Posted by: Mr Suresh KVS At: 27, May 2006 5:53:12 AM IST Mr.Maharshi,
It would have been great had if TP published your Bio along with the article.
Prediction of future is a tough business, either u need to posses some out of the world sixth sense or u need to have done quite a bit of market research.
The points you made in your article seemed to me as if they were made by a guy who is working in the IT field but surely not as a expert who has credible research behind his statements.
Every Indian IT guy wherever he is does his own predictions on his future. (Popular water cooler discussions). Your statements seemed no different to me.
All we worry at job is whatever expertise u have in IT field is it going to last in the future or not?
But what we miss is the bigger picture out there. Unlike any other technology IT is a part of our lives. You can apply it in all walks of life, even to other technologies and fields.
And when you look at IT the technology part of it, then you would realize it is still in its infancy. Thats good news right? There are still so many innovations and improvements need to happen. Its we people who need to make it happen.
PLEASE DO NOT MAKE predictions depending on the future of software products (Oracle, Java, .NET ect..)
Software products come and go what drives the future is the technology itself.
(I know I already mentioned this in the previous post)
Who knows Windows might be totally replaced by a new mind blowing OS.
Who knows the PC's them selves would be replaced by some other new technology.
We can predict those above things because its universal truth that nothing is perfect and there is room for improvement always.
And people are needed for all that to happen.
So once u r in this field you would prosper anyways, either u would have to innovate or just adapt new things.
As far as Market research goes even in US where outsourcing seems to be effecting the job market people seem to be more optimistic than people like you.
http://www.graduatingengineer.com/futuredisc/infotech.html
http://ecis.seattleu.edu/future/
Google it and u would find unlimited.
Posted by: Mr. ravi talsani At: 26, May 2006 9:23:46 PM IST Reply from Pragna Maharshi:
To, Anantha Sarma gaaru and Ravi Talasani gaaru,
Firstly, I appreciate your feedback as response to my article.
Anantha Sarma gaaru,
You said, I wrote articles on Knowledge Outsourcing and Legal Outsourcing, which is totally wrong. Please go through the list of my articles. I never wrote any article on these. I did write an article on Education outsourcing though. This means, you have not fully understood what my concept is. If you have really read and understood my previous articles, you can unequivocally understand that my concept (called Wisdom Services Outsourcing-WiSO) is quite contrary to the BPO outsourcing concept, whose primary motive (as you yourself said) is driven by the attraction of cheap labor and is powered by technology.
I don’t want to bore you by talking in detail about WiSO concept. Just go through the articles again and you will know that every WiSO concept is purely people-driven. None of the fields in WiSO concept can be automized by technology and people can’t be replaced by any machines as these services can only be offered by human-beings. In fact, the only reason to design WiSO concept is to create employment for crores of people, especially in a nation like India.
You asked me to name a field, which has bright future. Every field that I talked and am going to talk about in WiSO concept has tremendous growth in the future. Apart from these fields, there are many other fields, which will have bright future.
I didn’t get your logic. Once computer professionals completed designing a software (let’s say Oracle) in such a way that end-users can themselves develop applications as per their requirement, where is the question of lakhs of IT people in India getting jobs (as it is happening now)? Please enlighten me on this.
Finally, I would like to say that IT people need not be scared or worried at all about their future because if there will be no IT in future, there will be so many other fields. If one door closes, there will be hundred doors open. But only people with unbiased thinking and risk-taking attitude can see which doors are open. People who refuse to accept the reality and people who are scared to think beyond their present comfort lives will be the losers, failures and statistics.
RAVI TALSANI gaaru,
After reading your comments, it appears to me that you started hating me from the moment you completed reading my article. In both your comments, you are repeatedly saying that you don’t want to see my article in this website. Read any newspaper in this whole world and you find people writing articles and columns in newspapers. If the reader doesn’t like some thing from that article, s/he can write feedback and they will publish it in Reader’s column, which is some thing like Internet’s discussion room. Telugupeople.com is following the same pattern.
You are welcome to write a critical analysis on how IT field will continue to boom for the coming hundreds of years and will continue to create employment to lakhs or crores of people, then TP.com will publish it and people will read and comment on it. Frankly, even I would like to read it and learn new things that I’ve missed to learn.
Please tell me what you know about my life to say that I’m not an expert. Can you mention at least one sentence about my life? Moreover, I never said that I’m an expert. In fact, I’m not an expert at all. No one requires a ‘right’ to comment on some thing. Please show me any sentence in our constitution that bars me from commenting on IT field.
You said, you found my article ridiculous. You got every right to feel that way. But to say that I got no right to talk about IT and express my views on telugupeople.com are clear evidences that you hate me because I didn’t write some thing that makes you happy.
Let me say very clearly, I’M NOT WISHING THE DEATH OF I.T FIELD.
I am not even of the opinion that IT field will die one day. All that I said in my article is that IT field will not create so many lakhs of jobs in the future as it is creating now and hence our government has to look for alternatives. I.T field will continue to exist even till the next thousands of years but it cannot continue to provide mass employment like it is happening now. It happened with every other technology field in this world. If you know history of technology and business, you know these facts.
If you have read this article without any bias, you would have understood my perspective. If you don’t agree with my perspective, please give constructive criticism and I’m always willing to correct myself and learn from it. In fact, I’m willing to admit it openly on this site.
Thanks
Pragna Maharshi
Posted by: Mr. Maharshi Pragna At: 26, May 2006 7:54:45 PM IST Even after writing so many articles on Outsoursing (Education outsoursing, knowledge outsourcing, legal outsouricing etc), if Mr.Maharshi is still talking about the drying up of BPO projects in India in the near future, what do we have to conclude here?
Either his previous articles were wrong or this artcile? As long as cost of labor in India is cheap when compared to the other developing nations, there is no problem for BPO or IT industry.
If we have to start looking at the other areas for the growth, can he name one area where we can find the bright future. What ever new areas that comes up, they'll also be autmoized and they also require less man power when compared to IT industry.
If ORacle CEO says that, they are planning to develope a software which will let the end-user create his own application, whom do you think that will develope the software? The same IT people again. In brief, people sitting in India.
So, no need to worry about the growth of the software industry and get scared.
thanks.
Posted by: Mr. Sarma Anantha At: 26, May 2006 2:42:02 AM IST Mr. Jeevan
I know its democracy and Mr.Maharshi has every right to express his views but his kind of views should end up in discussion forums , not as an article in a news portal as if he is an expert.
What right he has got to predict the future of IT? Did any of us in india predict Y2K employment boom, did any of us could predict internet boom. Even till early ninties most of us in india where still after the government jobs.Where was this Maharshi then?
His predictions are short sighted, he did not take account the big picture out there.He was just talking about projects getting dried up, software automization for dying of IT jobs...i felt that was rediculous.
Technology and innovation are leading our lives in this global economy...So once you are in a technical field you flow with the changes in it.
This Real Estate boom is a myth and no way related to IT.
All it needs is some reason or the other for this bubble.
Hyd history shows lot of Real estate booms in the past even without this IT.
Just as an example for some unknown reasons there was an artificial RS boom in hyd after the gulf war and then after a while the bubble burst.
Even in US there is this problem that repeats every decade and no one has a definite reason.
So IT or no IT u can't get away with this realestate bubble.
SO please do not club the future of IT with realestate boom.
Posted by: Mr. ravi talsani At: 25, May 2006 8:14:50 PM IST Suggestion to Mr. Ravi Talsani,
Your comment started with telling TP.com not to publish articles such as Maharshi's 'IT tharuvata yemiti?' I think, you are working in IT field and that is why you felt that way. Even i am working in IT field but I agree with Maharshi.
There is sense and logic in Maharshi's article. He is asking every one to be alert and prepared for the future problems.
You criticised Maharshi's article saying that it is negative-thinking but no where in his article, I found any negativism. Infact he suggested how we can specialise in high-end IT projects and how to achieve that. He also mentioned some other alternatives. If he is negative thinking person, he would not have mentioned alternatives.
It is democracy. We should encourage every one to express their feelings. Even if Maharshi's argument is 100 per cent wrong, we should not say, 'don't publish such articles'. I didn't like your comment but if I say, we should not print comments like Talsani's then it is not justifiable.
He has his right to express and you have your right to express. Readers will decide what is wrong and right.
Posted by: Mr. Kumar Jeevan At: 25, May 2006 5:46:02 PM IST Very thought provoking and analytical article. Your analysis is believable, Mr. Maharshi, because the incidents you mentioned really happened and are happening right in front of us.
The incidents that happened in Indian stock market in the last one week reaffirm your argument. Foreign companies can dump Indians any time for better profits, as it happened last week with SENSEX.
We need to evolve a sensible and sustainable employment generation model, as you correctly suggested.
Posted by: Mr. Babu Kishore Enapati At: 25, May 2006 3:10:27 PM IST This could be a posssible reality of IT /BPO industry in future ,as we see every industry & country economy has roller-coaster in its path.
And we can see the land rates hype created at outskrits of hyderabad is like a bubble created by realors.
Posted by: Mr. Babu pavuluri At: 25, May 2006 2:18:22 PM IST Good analysis. One has to introspect at regular intervals, so that the path in which he moving on can be reviewed. I think, this is right time to introspect the prospects of IT and BPOs. Maharshi's article should be eye opener for the people who are in day dreams.
Posted by: Dr. Krishna Babu Manne At: 25, May 2006 1:44:14 PM IST
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