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General Forum: Govt. and Politics | Do you think AP is going to have an hung assembly? | |
| naayuDu gaari siddhaanti, ugaadi panchaangam chadivinaTTundi :D
Posted by: Subba Rao A At: 12, May 2009 7:50:26 PM IST Nope . I dont think AP will have a hung assembly .
Just because Praja rajyam has come up it does not really mean that any party in AP cannot form the govt .
Let us take a look at caste based votes .
The reddys will not vote for TDP and Kapus will not vote for congress or the TDP . There will be exceptions but as a general caste based assumption We can safely say that the Kammas are traditionally fought by Reddys ,Kapus as well as the Rajus who are in the Congress . Infact in the last elections we have seen that the Kammas themseleves have not voted for the TDP .
So who are the TDP voters ? They are the SC , ST , the learned thinkers , the people who believe that the TDP is the best possible govt . And these people constitute approx . 50 % of the population .
So the next govt will be a TDP govt for sure ,since Chiru has split up the traditional kapu voters of the congress to vote for his party .
Another thing is I dont think chiru will make any impact in the polls . A max of 10 % vote swing can happen and that will only change the equation of the Congress and TDP . Chiru is no where near winning any seats for sure . A max of 3-4 seats might be won .
And yes , the Opp party of the next govt will be the congress .
And at the national level we can again see the resurgence of Chandra Babu Naidu as the King Maker once again .
Posted by: Ravvaladdu Rowdy At: 11, May 2009 10:38:39 PM IST Yes, it is going to be Hung assembly and Chiranjeevi will become the CM with the support of TRS, left and some of the TDP and Congress MLAs defecting from their parties.
Posted by: Mr Suresh KVS At: 20, Apr 2009 7:39:17 PM IST In a multi cornered contest with each party having its hold in different regions, does AP is poised to witness an hung assembly?
Posted by: Site Administrator At: 20, Apr 2009 11:48:29 AM IST
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