Exit UPA, enter NDA - TeluguPeople.com News

New Delhi : The National Democratic Alliance (NDA) led by Bharatiya Janata Party's Prime Ministerial candidate Narendra Modi is all set to form the next government at the Centre, thereby ending the Congress-led UPA's 10-year rule, exit polls conducted by various agencies on Monday indicated.

The Lok Sabha election results are due on Friday. Research group C-Voter predicted 289 seats for the National Democratic Alliance headed by the BJP, with just 101 seats for the alliance led by the Congress party - which would be the ruling party's worst ever result. C-Voter said its poll was based on a sample of 166,901 randomly selected respondents in all 543 seats up for election. The pollster said its margin of error is +\-3 percent at a national level.

The NewsX-C-Voter survey sees the BJP getting as many as 251 seats. This would be the saffron party's best ever showing in the Lok Sabha polls. The party had won 182 seats in 1998 and 1999. The survey has projected a national scenario which sees the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) winning 289 Lok Sabha seats, comfortably past the mark of 272 required for a majority.

The NDA had managed 159 seats in 2009. The survey sees the United Progressive Alliance (UPA) getting a drubbing, managing just 101 seats, down from the 262 it had achieved five years ago. The Congress' worst performance of 114 seats was in 1999. CNN-IBN Lokniti and ABP-Nielsen seem to agree on the final tally, with both projecting an upper limit of around 281 seats for the BJP led NDA.

The Times Now - ORG poll gives a much more modest outcome for the alliance, saying that it will win 249 seats, which is 23 seats short of a majority. Even with the Congress/ UPA these numbers differ.

CNN-IBN-Lokniti has said that UPA will win 92-102 and the Congress 72 - 82. ABP Nielsen has again concurred, predicting 97 seats which is smack in the middle of the range provided by CNN-IBN/Lokniti.

The News24-Today's Chanakya Exit Poll predicts a Modi wave in the country with the BJP predicted to win 291 seats (plus / minus 14 seats). The Congress is predicted to slip to its lowest tally of 57 seats (plus / minus 9 seats).

As per the exit poll findings, the BJP can form a government on its own as its tally is way beyond the 272-mark required to form the government. While NDA is predicted to win 340 seats (plus/minus 14 seats), the UPA could get 70 seats (plus/minus 9) and others 133 (plus/minus 11 seats).

As per this exit poll, Modi's magic has worked in UP and Bihar. By sweeping UP and Bihar, the saffron party is expected to log its best-ever performance in the two northern states. Another poll, by CICERO for the India Today group, showed the NDA hitting between 261 and 283 seats.

The BJP-led NDA coalition could get a majority with 272 seats in the Lok Sabha, the India Today-CICERO exit poll said. It said at the end of the staggered Lok Sabha election that the Congress-led UPA would get 115 seats and other parties 156 would win seats. The ABP-Nielsen survey also predicted more than 272 seats for the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance and 110 for the Congress-led United Progressive Alliance.

The survey results backed forecasts before voting started on April 7 that the BJP ' and its allies ' should be able to reach a majority in Parliament after trouncing the ruling Congress party. According to CNN-IBN-CSDS-Lokniti post-poll survey, the BJP-led NDA is expected to get a clear majority on its own by winning 270-282 Lok Sabha seats. The BJP is likely to get its highest ever tally of 230-242 seats in the Lok Sabha.

The ruling Congress-led UPA is expected to be routed in the election. It is expected to get just 92-102 seats. The Congress alone may win just 72-82 Lok Sabha seats which is its worst ever performance.

It predicted that Telugu Desam Party is likely to get 10-14 Lok Sabha seats in Andhra Pradesh, while the YSR Congress Party led by Y S Jaganmohan Reddy may get 11-15 Lok Sabha seats. Surprisingly, the (TRS) led by K Chandrashekhara Rao is likely to get 8-12 Lok Sabha seats in Telangana.

If the post-poll projections are correct, the NDA is doubling its performance of the 2009 and the UPA is losing more than 50 per cent of the seats it won in 2009. Opinion polls had earlier showed the BJP and its allies taking the largest share of seats in the election staggered over five weeks.

The Congress, in power for the past decade, faces its worst defeat as it battles the anger of the public over a string of scams and a slow economy. Despite a decade of economic growth that has averaged 7.6% per year, a sharp slowdown since 2012 has badly hurt the party.

The BJP has insisted a strong '(Narendra) Modi wave' will sweep the nation. The BJP's Prime Ministerial nominee travelled over 300,000 km and held 5,827 public meetings, mixing traditional methods of holding rallies with innovative use of technology, the party claimed.

But as the stock market hit a new record high on hopes that Modi can jumpstart the flagging economy, analysts urged caution due to notorious forecasting failures in 2004 and 2009. The exit poll results of the 15th Lok Sabha in 2009 were close to the projection lines.

However, predictions of the 2004 general elections were off with the exit-poll favourite NDA securing only 187 seats against the estimates of over 240 to 250 seats. The Congress and its pre-poll allies got 216 seats against projection ranging from 170 to 205 seats.